980 
fxus62 ktae 070104 
afdtae 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tallahassee Florida 
905 PM EDT Monday Oct 6 2008 


Discussion...low level moisture has made a dramatic return to the 
region in just a short period of time. Sunday we had a red flag 
event over most of our North Florida counties and today dew points 
are elevated in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Temperatures have 
increased as well. Perry had a high of 93 degrees and Tallahassee 
reached 91 degrees. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated 
thunderstorms developed in the moist and unstable environment. The 
thunderstorms have diminished but plenty of showers remain as of 
01z. Will leave forecast is is showing chance probability of precipitation overnight. 


&& 


Aviation...the extensive cumulus (3-5kft) and ac (7-10k) fields that 
developed across much of the local area Monday afternoon will linger into 
the middle evening. Showers and some thunderstorms developed with East Coast 
sea breeze impacting mainly southeast Big Bend and adjacent waters and less 
showers with Gulf sea breeze across Panhandle to western Big Bend should 
die off by middle evening. Similar to Monday morning... IFR ceilings will 
remain possible during pre-dawn hours into early morning. For 
Tuesday afternoon...expect increasing rain chances with brief MVFR 
ceilings/visibilities in any stronger storms. Rain chances will noticeably 
increase on Wednesday as a cold front approaches from the west. 


&& 


Marine...so far wind and seas have stayed under headline criteria 
but will continue to monitor. 


&& 


Tae watches/warnings/advisories... 
Alabama...none. 
Georgia...none. 
Florida...none. 
GM...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Barry/block