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fxus62 ktae 071307 
afdtae 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tallahassee Florida 
907 am EDT Tuesday Oct 7 2008 


Update...recently animated water vapor loop showed an 
amplified pattern over the eastern half of the country with a 
shortwave trough over the Midwest that is trying to close off into 
an upper low. The surface front associated with this feature is 
currently well west of the local forecast area extending southwest 
from Arkansas into central Texas. A surface ridge axis extends 
southwest across the southeastern region with very moist 
east-southeast winds streaming across the Gulf Coast. The latest observation 
show dew points across the area ranging from the lower 60s over the 
northern half of the County Warning Area to 70 near the coast along the Panhandle. As the 
previously mentioned cold front continues to push east-southeast into the 
region expected increasing rain chances across the local 
area...mainly the western half today over the Panhandle and 
southeast Alabama. Although plenty of cloud cover will limit the 
destabilization today...a strong thunderstorm or two with gusty 
winds and frequent lightning can't be ruled out. The previous 
forecast appears to be on track at this time with no major updates 
expected. 


&& 


Aviation...areas of IFR ceilings will gradually lift this morning...but 
we still expect several areas of MVFR ceilings through the day and into 
tonight. Numerous rain showers and isolated T will develop from west to east 
today...with locally IFR visible/ceilings and gusty winds in the stronger 
storms. The best chance for rain will be this afternoon through 
tonight...especially from ktlh and kaby westward. 


&& 


Tae watches/warnings/advisories... 
Alabama...none. 
Georgia...none. 
Florida...none. 
GM...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Update...Gibbs 
aviation...Fournier