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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida 
910 PM EST Wednesday Nov 19 2008 


..near record lows expected tonight with patchy frost north... 


..Elevated fire danger again Thursday... 


Discussion... 


Current...01z metars indicate surface high ctr has continued to slide 
southward and has reached the northestern Gomex. Skies have cleared areawide... 
save from some marine SC brushing the Martin Colorado coast at this time. Temperatures 
generally running within about a degree of lamp MOS guidance. 


Overnight...expect sky clear with very light north-northwest drainage flow setting up. 
Taking off about 1f/hour from current 01z temperature readings would put all 
locales within a degree of the current gridded forecasts at 12z. All-in-all 
current suite of products looks pretty close being to on the mark. 
Forecast will continue to advertise patchy frost overnight for Volusia/ 
Orange/Lake/Seminole and northern Osceola/Brevard cos. 


&& 


Aviation...VFR/skc with swath of marine SC brushing the coast between 
kfpr-kpbi through about 06z. 


&& 


Marine...N-NW winds have come down to 10kts as forecast with seas now 
dropping to a little either side of 7ft. Dcrsg trend in seas should 
continue overnight...so it looks safe to drop the Small Craft Advisory for seas over 
all the 0-20nm legs and replace with a cautionary stmt. 


&& 


Climate... 
record lows temperatures for Thursday Nov 20th... 


Daytona Beach....37/1949 
Orlando..........39/1968 
Melbourne........40/1968 
Vero Beach.......40/1968 


&& 


Mlb watches/warnings/advisories... 
Florida...none. 
Am...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 10 am Thursday 
from Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20 to 60 nm offshore- 


Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 7 am Thursday 
from Flagler Beach to Volusia Brevard County line 20 to 60 nm 
offshore. 
&& 


$$ 


Cristaldi