Weather




Minot Air Force Base, North Dakota

National Weather Service: Winter Storm Watch

Current Conditions

 
Temp: -1°
Dew Point: -7°
Humidity: 77%
Wind: WNW 6 mph
Visibility: 10.0 miles
Pressure: 29.84 in. +
Sky: Clear
Wind Chill: -13°

 

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Almanac

Average High: 16°

Average Low:

Record high/year: 44° (2003)

Record low/year: -16° (1999)

Sunrise: 8:35 AM

Sunset: 5:08 PM

Detailed History

Sun and Moon

Sunrise: 08:35 AM (CST)

Moon Rise: 01:19 PM (CST)

Sunset: 05:08 PM (CST)

Moon Set: 05:05 AM (CST)

Moon Phase

Today
Jan. 10
Jan. 17
Jan. 26
Feb. 02

 

Local Radar

Local Satellite



Next 12 Hours

 
4  pm
7  pm
-2  am
1  am
4  am
Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy
Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
-1°
-3°
-1°
-3°

 

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database


5-Day Forecast

Wednesday Mostly Cloudy Hi 7° Lo -3° Mostly Cloudy
Thursday Snow Hi 18° Lo 10° Snow
Friday Chance of Snow Hi 12° Lo -6° Chance of Snow
Saturday Partly Cloudy Hi 18° Lo 4° Partly Cloudy
Sunday Partly Cloudy Hi 18° Lo 7° Partly Cloudy

 

Forecast for Ward

Updated: 4:00 PM CST on January 7, 2009
Winter Storm Watch in effect from Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon...

Tonight

Mostly cloudy. Lows near zero. Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight.

 

Thursday

Cloudy. Chance of snow in the morning...then snow in the afternoon. Snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches. Highs 15 to 20. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. Lowest wind chills around 20 below.

 

Thursday Night

Snow...breezy. Snow accumulation of 3 to 6 inches. Total snow accumulation 6 to 8 inches. Lows 10 to 15. East winds 15 to 20 mph shifting to the northeast 15 to 25 mph after midnight.

 

Friday

Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow in the morning...then slight chance of snow in the afternoon. Areas of blowing and drifting snow through the day. Windy. Highs 10 to 15. Northwest winds 15 to 30 mph becoming around 25 mph in the afternoon. Chance of snow 40 percent.

 

Friday Night

Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 5 below. West winds 10 to 20 mph.

 

Saturday and Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy. Highs 15 to 20. Lows zero to 5 above.

 

Sunday through Monday

Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow. Breezy. Highs 15 to 20. Lows zero to 5 above.

 

Monday Night and Tuesday

Mostly cloudy. Lows around 5 below. Highs zero to 5 above.

 

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow. Lows around 10 below.

 

Wednesday

Partly sunny. Highs zero to 5 above.

 

 

 Winter Storm Watch  Statement as of 3:42 PM CST on January 7, 2009


... Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Thursday afternoon
through Friday afternoon...

A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Thursday afternoon
through Friday afternoon.

An approaching low pressure system has the potential to bring
another five to seven inches of heavy snow to northwestern and
portions of central North Dakota by Friday morning. There is also
potential for freezing rain or sleet Thursday morning through
Thursday evening within the watch area and elsewhere across west
and central North Dakota. In addition... strong northerly winds
behind this storm system will produce considerable blowing and
drifting snow late Thursday night through Friday... which will
significantly reduce visibilities and create blizzard conditions.

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.





 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 4:10 PM CST on January 7, 2009


... Safety rules for winter storm warnings...

A Winter Storm Warning has been issued by your National Weather
Service in North Dakota. The following safety rules should insure
your survival.

A brief reminder... a warning means the storm is actually occurring
or is imminent.

Do not venture out into the storm unless absolutely necessary.
Most winter storm fatalities involved people who left a place of
safety while the storm was in progress.

If you must go out... dress warmly. It is very important to keep your
head... hands and feet protected. Most of the bodys heat is lost
through the outer extremities... especially the head.

Avoid overexertion even if you are in good physical condition. It is
hard work walking in heavy snow... high winds... and bitter cold wind
chills... and blinding visibilities. Do not kill yourself shoveling
snow.

If you are in your home... be very careful of starting fires. The Fire
Department may not be able to get to you in stormy conditions.

On the Road... you should have winter survival gear in your vehicle.
If stranded in the storm... stay in your vehicle. Run the engine
sparingly to conserve fuel.

Circulate fresh air in the car by opening one of the windows
slightly. Turn on the dome light at night. Maintain a continuous
watch and do not let everyone in the vehicle sleep at the same time.

If you must get out of your vehicle during the storm... tie a
lifeline to you and the vehicle.

Monitor the latest weather reports... if possible... and wait
patiently for the storm to subside.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: APRSWXNET Glenburn ND US, Glenburn, ND

Updated: 4:27 PM CST

Temperature: -1 °F Dew Point: -5 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: West at 4 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: -10 °F Historical Graphs

NWS Forecaster Discussion




946 
fxus63 kbis 072121 
afdbis 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Bismarck ND 
321 PM CST Wednesday Jan 7 2009 


Synopsis...Alberta clipper likely to pull enough warm air into 
North Dakota for rain southwest and south central Thursday. With 
deep snow cover and cold surface...freezing rain will be a major 
threat. There is the potential for heavy snow north through east 
central...and the in between...Bismarck area...may get a little 
of all the above. Therefor..have issued Winter Storm Warning for 
the northwest starting at 3 am tonight. The Winter Storm Watch 
continues for the north central and has been expanded to include 
the Jamestown area. A Freezing Rain Advisory has been issued for 
the southwest...including Dickinson...Bowman...Hettinger... and a 
Winter Weather Advisory for the south central...where some 
freezing rain...snow and blowing snow will all come together. This 
includes buelah...Bismarck...elgion and feet Yates areas. 




&& 


Short term...tonight through Saturday night...a mix of freezing 
rain and snow will develop tonight west...with freezing rain more 
likely southwest. The freezing rain will spread east on Thursday. 
Snow may become heavy north and east Thursday night and Friday 
morning...with strong winds causing blowing and drifting snow 
Friday. The system will spread east to the region Friday night and 
Saturday. Return flow around the high will occur already by 
Saturday brining in milder 800 mb temperatures. Left Friday night through 
Saturday dry. 


Long term...Sunday through Wednesday night 
hydromet prediction center favors the European model (ecmwf) over the GFS. Both 
models are similar for Sunday/Monday...then diverge 
Tuesday/Wednesday. 


On Sunday another clipper system moves across the area...thus a 
chance of snow followed by cold Arctic air which the European model (ecmwf) moves 
southeast quickly and allows a hint of milder Pacific air into the 
southwest Monday afternoon. Have a chance of snow Monday 
night/Tuesday in the west with the warm advection from the Pacific 
air with a chance region-wide on Wednesday ahead of a large push of 
cold Arctic air that will engulf the forecast area Tuesday night and 
Wednesday. 


Confidence low in maximum/min temperature forecast as models still 
differ as to whether Arctic air is pushed east/southeast out of the 
area and replaced by Pacific air...or whether Arctic blasts will 
linger over the forecast area. 




&& 


Aviation... 
this afternoon...a ridge of surface Arctic high pressure extended 
from northern Alberta through southern Saskatchewan to the eastern 
Dakotas while low pressure continued to develop in the Lee of The 
Rockies from western Alberta to Montana and Wyoming. A complicated 
winter storm system will bring a chance of snow and freezing rain to 
western North Dakota beginning late tonight...and spread to central 
North Dakota after daybreak on Thursday. Expecting mainly freezing 
rain in the southwest...a mix of snow and freezing rain from kisn to 
kbis...and mainly snow at kmot and kjms. 


This afternoon over western North Dakota - kisn and kdik - there was 
a pocket of only middle clouds...around 9000 feet...between the MVFR 
clouds over central/eastern North Dakota and MVFR/IFR conditions in 
snow over eastern Montana/eastern Wyoming/western South Dakota. 
Expect ceilings over western ND to become MVFR after 00z...then 
become IFR in snow/freezing rain after 06z tonight. 


MVFR ceilings over eastern and central North Dakota this afternoon 
are expected to give way to VFR ceilings or scattered clouds after 
00z. Then after 12z on Thursday morning MVFR to IFR ceilings will 
move in from the west with a snow/freezing rain mix likely at kbis 
..with snow likely farther north at kmot and farther east at kjms. 


&& 


Bis watches/warnings/advisories... 
Winter Weather Advisory from 6 am CST /5 am MST/ Thursday to 6 
PM CST /5 PM MST/ Friday for ndz018>020-034-035-042-045>047-050. 


Freezing Rain Advisory from 2 am to 2 PM MST Thursday for 
ndz031>033-040-041-043-044. 


Winter Storm Warning from 3 am Thursday to 6 PM CST Friday for 
ndz001-009-017. 


Winter Storm Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday 
afternoon for ndz002>005-010>013-021>023-025-036-037-048-051. 


&& 


$$ 


Abeling/Vining 










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