Weather




Toledo, Ohio

Current Conditions

 
Temp: 21°
Dew Point: 13°
Humidity: 71%
Wind: NW 20 mph
Visibility: 10.0 miles
Pressure: 30.24 in. +
Sky: Partly Cloudy
Wind Chill:

 

Customize Your Weather

Get weather by ZIP code, city, state, airport code or country:

Weather by E-mail: Get forecasts and storm alerts delivered to you.

Sign Up...

Almanac

Average High: 45°

Average Low: 31°

Record high/year: 69° (1934)

Record low/year: 9° (1880)

Sunrise: 7:30 AM

Sunset: 5:09 PM

Detailed History

Sun and Moon

Sunrise: 07:30 AM (EST)

Moon Rise: 01:26 AM (EST)

Sunset: 05:09 PM (EST)

Moon Set: 01:57 PM (EST)

Moon Phase

Today
Nov. 27
Dec. 05
Dec. 12
Dec. 19

 

Local Radar

Local Satellite



Next 12 Hours

 
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
22°
20°
25°
29°
27°

 

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database


5-Day Forecast

Friday Chance of Snow Hi 29° Lo 18° Chance of Snow
Saturday Partly Cloudy Hi 36° Lo 20° Partly Cloudy
Sunday Partly Cloudy Hi 40° Lo 31° Partly Cloudy
Monday Chance of Snow Hi 41° Lo 27° Chance of Snow
Tuesday Chance of Snow Hi 34° Lo 29° Chance of Snow

 

Forecast for Lucas

Updated: 3:38 am EST on November 21, 2008

Today

Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. Little or no accumulation. Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

 

Tonight

Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

 

Saturday

Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

 

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy. Cold with lows around 19. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

 

Sunday

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

 

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Not as cool with lows in the lower 30s.

 

Monday

Rain and snow showers likely. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

 

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s.

 

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.

 

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.

 

Wednesday

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s.

 

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.

 

Thanksgiving Day

Partly sunny. Highs around 40.

 

 

 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 9:46 PM EST on November 20, 2008


The following are snowfall observations taken during the past 12/24
hours for the storm that has been affecting our region.
Appreciation is extended to Highway departments... cooperative
observers... Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This
summary is also available on our home Page at weather.Gov/Cleveland

**********************12 hour snowfall**********************

Location 12 hour time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     (inches) measurement


Ohio

... Ashtabula County...
   Pierpont 2se 3.0 928 PM 11/20
   Conneaut I-90 1.5 917 PM 11/20
   dorsett 3w 1.0 912 PM 11/20
   Ashtabula 1sw 0.3 916 PM 11/20

... Crawford County...
   Bucyrus T 929 PM 11/20

... Cuyahoga County...
   Solon 3.8 922 PM 11/20
   Broadview hts 3.0 924 PM 11/20
   Parma 2.8 933 PM 11/20
   Pepper Pike 1.3 919 PM 11/20
   cle Airport 0.4 700 PM 11/20

... Erie County...
   Sandusky - west side T 932 PM 11/20

... Geauga County...
   Welshfield 2sw 4.5 931 PM 11/20
   Bainbridge 2s 3.7 928 PM 11/20
   Bainbridge 3.5 921 PM 11/20
   Thompson 5sw 2.9 925 PM 11/20
   Middlefield 3se 2.0 915 PM 11/20
   Chardon 1.5 922 PM 11/20
   Montville 1.5 916 PM 11/20
   Chardon 1.0 915 PM 11/20

... Lake County...
   Kirtland 1.0 919 PM 11/20
   LeRoy 1.0 930 PM 11/20
   Concord TWP. 0.8 928 PM 11/20
   Mentor 0.7 919 PM 11/20
   Madison 0.5 929 PM 11/20
   Willoughby 0.5 924 PM 11/20
   Mentor 0.3 923 PM 11/20
   Eastlake T 922 PM 11/20
   Madison-on-the-Lake T 926 PM 11/20

... Lucas County...
   Toledo Airport T 700 PM 11/20

... Medina County...
   Hinckley 2.7 909 PM 11/20
   Brunswick 1.1 942 PM 11/20
   Medina 0.8 910 PM 11/20
   Medina 0.5 931 PM 11/20

... Portage County...
   Mantua 3.0 914 PM 11/20
   Kent 1.6 930 PM 11/20
   Ravenna 1e 1.3 929 PM 11/20

... Richland County...
   mansfld Arpt T 700 PM 11/20

... Sandusky County...
   Fremont 0.2 917 PM 11/20
   Oak Harbor 5s T 931 PM 11/20

... Summit County...
   Twinsburg 3.5 911 PM 11/20
   Cuyahoga Falls 2.7 918 PM 11/20
   Bath 2.5 939 PM 11/20
   Tallmadge 1.4 916 PM 11/20
   cak Airport 1.3 700 PM 11/20

... Trumbull County...
   yng Airport 2.9 700 PM 11/20
   Newton Falls 2.7 933 PM 11/20
   Champion 1.0 921 PM 11/20

Pennsylvania

... Crawford County...
   canadohta lake 6.4 917 PM 11/20
   Crossingville 2nw 4.0 916 PM 11/20
   Conneautville 6sw 3.5 923 PM 11/20
   Meadville 2.2 929 PM 11/20
   Meadville 2.0 910 PM 11/20
   Titusville 1.0 924 PM 11/20

... Erie County...
   Corry 8.8 912 PM 11/20
   northeast 6sw 8.0 930 PM 11/20
   northeast 6.0 932 PM 11/20
   Amity TWP 4.5 920 PM 11/20
   Millcreek TWP. 3.6 913 PM 11/20
   Franklin ctr 2.4 921 PM 11/20
   Erie Airport 1.5 700 PM 11/20
   Lake City 0.4 922 PM 11/20

**********************24 hour snowfall**********************

Location 24 hour time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     (inches) measurement


Ohio

... Mahoning County...
   Austintown 1.5 913 PM 11/20

... Trumbull County...
   Warren 2.0 933 PM 11/20

Pennsylvania

... Erie County...
   Edinboro 4.5 912 PM 11/20
   Pont 3.2 939 PM 11/20

***********************snow on ground***********************

Location snow time/date comments
                    on ground of
                     (inches) measurement


Ohio

... Ashtabula County...
   Conneaut I-90 9.0 917 PM 11/20
   Pierpont 2se 6.0 928 PM 11/20
   Ashtabula 1sw 4.0 916 PM 11/20
   dorsett 3w 2.0 912 PM 11/20

... Crawford County...

... Cuyahoga County...
   Solon 6.0 922 PM 11/20
   Parma 5.0 933 PM 11/20
   Broadview hts 3.0 924 PM 11/20
   Pepper Pike 3.0 919 PM 11/20
   cle Airport T 700 PM 11/20

... Geauga County...
   Thompson 5sw 9.0 925 PM 11/20
   Bainbridge 7.0 921 PM 11/20
   Bainbridge 2s 7.0 928 PM 11/20
   Chardon 7.0 922 PM 11/20
   Welshfield 2sw 7.0 931 PM 11/20
   Montville 5.0 916 PM 11/20
   Chardon 4.0 915 PM 11/20
   Middlefield 3se 3.0 915 PM 11/20

... Lake County...
   LeRoy 9.0 930 PM 11/20
   Concord TWP. 3.0 928 PM 11/20
   Mentor 3.0 923 PM 11/20
   Madison 2.0 929 PM 11/20
   Kirtland 1.0 919 PM 11/20
   Mentor 1.0 919 PM 11/20
   Willoughby 1.0 924 PM 11/20
   Eastlake T 922 PM 11/20

... Lucas County...
   Toledo Airport T 700 PM 11/20

... Mahoning County...
   Austintown 3.0 913 PM 11/20

... Medina County...
   Hinckley 5.0 909 PM 11/20
   Brunswick 3.0 942 PM 11/20
   Medina 3.0 910 PM 11/20
   Medina 3.0 931 PM 11/20

... Portage County...
   Ravenna 1e 6.0 929 PM 11/20
   Kent 4.0 930 PM 11/20
   Mantua 3.0 914 PM 11/20

... Richland County...
   mansfld Arpt T 700 PM 11/20

... Sandusky County...
   Fremont T 917 PM 11/20
   Oak Harbor 5s T 931 PM 11/20

... Summit County...
   Twinsburg 6.0 911 PM 11/20
   Cuyahoga Falls 5.0 918 PM 11/20
   Bath 4.0 939 PM 11/20
   cak Airport 3.0 700 PM 11/20
   Tallmadge 3.0 916 PM 11/20

... Trumbull County...
   Newton Falls 6.0 933 PM 11/20
   yng Airport 6.0 700 PM 11/20
   Warren 4.0 933 PM 11/20
   Champion 3.0 921 PM 11/20

Pennsylvania

... Crawford County...
   canadohta lake 10.0 917 PM 11/20
   Crossingville 2nw 6.0 916 PM 11/20
   Conneautville 6sw 4.0 923 PM 11/20
   Meadville 3.0 910 PM 11/20
   Meadville 2.0 929 PM 11/20
   Titusville 2.0 924 PM 11/20

... Erie County...
   northeast 6sw 18.0 930 PM 11/20
   Corry 15.0 912 PM 11/20
   Amity TWP 13.0 920 PM 11/20
   northeast 13.0 932 PM 11/20
   Millcreek TWP. 12.0 913 PM 11/20
   Edinboro 9.0 912 PM 11/20
   Franklin ctr 8.0 921 PM 11/20
   Pont 7.0 939 PM 11/20
   Erie Airport 5.0 700 PM 11/20
   Lake City 4.0 922 PM 11/20



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: East Toledo, Toledo, OH

Updated: 3:59 AM EST

Temperature: 22.4 °F Dew Point: 13 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: NW at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 141-IR 75 @ SLM 4.9 475 Split, Toledo, Dry

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 23 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: NW at 6 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Historical Graphs

Location: WZ8H, Oregon, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 22.7 °F Dew Point: 11 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: NNW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 23 °F Historical Graphs

Location: West Toledo, Toledo, OH

Updated: 4:00 AM EST

Temperature: 21.8 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: North at 7.0 mph Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 146-I-75 @ I-475 Wood, Perrysburg, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 22 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: WNW at 7 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 147-I-75 @ I-80 Wood County, Perrysburg, Dry

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 23 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: NW at 10 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Maumee, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 22.8 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: WNW at 5.1 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Point Place, Toledo, OH

Updated: 4:06 AM EST

Temperature: 22.4 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: WSW at 5.1 mph Pressure: 8.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 140-IR 475 @ US 23 Split, Toledo, Other

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 22 °F Dew Point: 13 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: NW at 9 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 12 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Fighting Yellow Jackets, Perrysburg, OH

Updated: 4:06 AM EST

Temperature: 22.2 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: WNW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 139-I-80 & I-475 Lucas, Maumee, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 22 °F Dew Point: 15 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: WNW at 7 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Historical Graphs

Location: NOS_NWLON Harbor View, OH, Oregon, OH

Updated: 3:18 AM EST

Temperature: 23 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: WNW at 16 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 10 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 145-IR 75 @ SLM 18.36 Wood, Perrysburg, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 22 °F Dew Point: 15 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: WNW at 13 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 10 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 150-I-280 @ Libbey Rd., Lemoyne, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 24 °F Dew Point: 18 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: WNW at 12 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Hull Prairie Farms, Perrysburg, OH

Updated: 2:14 AM EST

Temperature: 32.9 °F Dew Point: 15 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 33 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Wood County ARES, Perrysburg, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 22.4 °F Dew Point: 11 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: WNW at 8.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Historical Graphs

Location: River Ridge, Perrysburg, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 18.7 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 37% Wind: NW at 6.3 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 10 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Erie Street, Sylvania, Ohio, Sylvania, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 21.1 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: NW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 149-US-20 @ Lemoyne Rd., Lemoyne, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 23 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: NW at 11 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 12 °F Historical Graphs

Location: S.E Michigan Live Weather, Temperance, MI

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 21.1 °F Dew Point: 9 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 21 °F Historical Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Luckey OH US, Lemoyne, OH

Updated: 3:46 AM EST

Temperature: 22 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: WNW at 12 mph Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 10 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Maple Creek, Sylvania, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 20.6 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: NNW at 12.0 mph Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 8 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Evans Landing, Luna Pier, MI

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 23.4 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.70 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 23 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Lasalle, MI

Updated: 4:03 AM EST

Temperature: 22.3 °F Dew Point: 5 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: NNW at 5.0 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 144-IR 75 & Eagleville Rd., Dunbridge, Dry

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 23 °F Dew Point: 17 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: NW at 9 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 137-SR 64 @ SLM 7.5 Fulton, Whitehouse, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 22 °F Dew Point: 13 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: SW at 1 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 22 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 153-US-20 @ Sugar Creek, Woodville, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 23 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: SW at 10 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 132-SR 64 @ SLM 6.0 Fulton, Metamora, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 19 °F Dew Point: 13 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: WNW at 10 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 8 °F Historical Graphs

Location: West Bowling Green, Bowling Green, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 21.2 °F Dew Point: 6 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: North at 3.1 mph Pressure: 29.47 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 17 °F Historical Graphs

Location: DACOR Internet Service, Bowling Green, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 22.5 °F Dew Point: 5 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: NW at 3.1 mph Pressure: 29.44 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Blissfield (MAC), Blissfield, MI

Updated: 4:04 AM EST

Temperature: 20.8 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: NNW at 11.0 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 9 °F Historical Graphs

Location: S. W. Bowling Green, Ohio, Bowling Green, OH

Updated: 4:05 AM EST

Temperature: 21.9 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: WNW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 16 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Near Cabelas, Dundee, MI

Updated: 4:00 AM EST

Temperature: 21.7 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: West at 10.0 mph Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 11 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 148-US-6 @ Rt. 23, Bradner, Wet/Treated

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 22 °F Dew Point: 15 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: NW at 10 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 11 °F Historical Graphs

Location: 2 Miles E of, Dundee, MI

Updated: 4:06 AM EST

Temperature: 21.4 °F Dew Point: 6 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: North at 4.4 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Historical Graphs

Location: OHDOT 138-US 24 near Grand Rapids, Grand Rapids, Snow/Ice

Updated: 3:45 AM EST

Temperature: 21 °F Dew Point: 13 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: NW at 1 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 21 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Weston, Weston, OH

Updated: 4:06 AM EST

Temperature: 18.1 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: NW at 8.9 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 7 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Delta, OH

Updated: 4:07 AM EST

Temperature: 18.4 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: West at 2.5 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Historical Graphs

Location: Maybee, Monroe, MI

Updated: 4:03 AM EST

Temperature: 21.7 °F Dew Point: 10 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: NNW at 11.0 mph Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 10 °F Historical Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temperature Dew Point Humidity Wind Pressure Hourly Precipitation -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




309 
fxus61 kcle 210819 
afdcle 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Cleveland Ohio 
319 am EST Friday Nov 21 2008 


Synopsis... 
high pressure over the Central Plains will move up the Ohio Valley 
Saturday and off the Carolina coast Monday. Another clipper low 
will drop southeast through the Great Lakes Monday dragging a 
trailing cold front across our area. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 PM Friday evening/... 
latest models runs show little change. Coldest part of the airmass 
will be over the area today with Lake Erie to 850 mb and 700 mb temperature 
differential impressive. Middle level moisture should be sufficient for 
seeding process to keep Good Lake effect shsn occurring so no plans 
to changes current warnings and advisories. As flow starts to back 
some during the day if no decent bands have developed through 
Cuyahoga into Summit and Portage day shift may have to take a good 
look at whether warnings will still be needed. With temperatures now below 
freezing throughout the area and winds possibly gusting to 30 miles per hour 
will probably see some blowing and drifting so will add in mention 
of this for snowbelt. 


&& 


Short term /6 PM Friday evening through Sunday night/... 
shifting of bands of lake effect remain on track to shift east into 
mainly the eastern half of snowbelt by late tonight where they will 
probably hang up into early Sat afternoon before tapering off during 
the rest of the afternoon and evening...thus lake effect warning 
ending time of 4 PM Sat still seems reasonable. Somewhat concerned 
for Erie County where backing flow could allow for long fetch across 
Lake Erie and keep a significant snow band over part of the County. 
However...drier air and subsidence with axis of high pressure moving 
in may be enough of a negative factor to offset the longer fetch. 


High pressure and flow shifting to south-southwest expected to provide dry 
weather Sunday before next round of precipitation to arrive later Sun night 
as another clipper and cold front approach. Airmass prognosticated to warm 
enough so that precipitation type should be rain. Will adjust grids more 
to show threat for rain over mainly northwest half of County Warning Area which won't 
conflict with lows in far eastern part of area that drop below 
freezing. Can't imagine this situation producing freezing type 
precipitation as moderate south-southwest low level flow generally not conducive around 
here for any frozen precipitation. Think that if cloud cover thickens 
enough for precipitation to occur temperatures will remain or rise above freezing 
point anyway. 


&& 


Long term /Monday through Thursday/... 
models are in decent agreement with the next storm system that will 
move across the Great Lakes into the New England states next week. 
European model (ecmwf) is slightly slower with the eastward progression of the upper 
level features which could keep rain over Northern Ohio and 
northwestern PA into Monday evening. Uncertainty at this time will 
be how much warming can occur over the snowpack across northeast 
Ohio and northwest PA for Monday as a strong southwesterly flow develops. 
For now will leave a rain/snow mix for much of the region with snow 
over the higher terrain east of cle. Believe at some point Monday 
evening we should see all snow as the colder air spills across Lake 
Erie with some lake effect snows once again developing and 
persisting into Wednesday night. Warnings/advisories will likely be 
needed for this middle week event. 


There then becomes much uncertainty for late Wednesday into Thursday 
as the models struggle with the movement of energy in the trough 
that will remain over the Great Lakes. 


Temperatures will be warmest on Monday with highs approaching 40 
degrees...assuming cloud cover is not to thick from the approaching 
storm system. 


&& 


Aviation /06z Friday through Tuesday/... 
northwest flow with plenty of moisture and increasing instability. 
The models are consistent in bringing in drier air into Northwest 
Ohio overnight...so improved conditions. Elsewhere tried to time 
the snow showers. Otherwise MVFR to IFR conditions. An upper trough 
will be moving across the area around daybreak and into Friday 
morning. This will cause plenty of IFR conditions for northeast 
Ohio and northwest PA. After the trough moves through improving 
conditions and more snow showers for the afternoon. Use the nam12 
1000-700 mb relative humidity as a guide. It seems to have a good 
handle on things. The lake and 500 mb temperature difference on 
Friday will be well over 40c...thunder will occur especially near 
the Lakeshore from cle east. 


For cle not much snow showers expected until after 5am as upper 
trough moves in. Snow fall around daybreak will be 1 to 2 inches. 


Outlook... 
Lake effect continues into early Saturday. Most of the lake 
effect would affect traditional snowbelt which would include Erie 
with snow showers reaching cak/yng. VFR conditions may return by 
Saturday night. The VFR conditions should continue through Sunday 
as high pressure moves east across the forecast area. Another cold 
front is anticipated for Monday as deepening low pressure moves 
east across the region. Conditions may begin to improve over 
western Ohio Tuesday with lake effect snow showers continuing over 
the eastern portion of the forecast area. 


&& 


Marine... 
northwesterly winds will remain in the 15 to 25 knot range today 
into early Saturday. As high pressure builds in on Saturday the 
gradient will begin to relax with winds decreasing. Current Small 
Craft Advisory time frame still looks reasonable. Next storms system 
will cause an increasing southwesterly flow for Sunday and Monday. 
May need to keep an eye on water levels in the western basin on 
Monday when the strongest southwesterly flow is anticipated. A cold 
front then dives through the Great Lakes on Monday with strong 
northwesterly winds expected. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be 
needed by Monday night. 


Otherwise lake effect snows will persist through Saturday for the 
eastern half of the lake. Cant rule out a bit of thunder east of cle 
through this evening. May see a return of some rain for Monday into 
Monday night before switching back over to Snow. Lake effect snows 
will then persist on Tuesday into Wednesday. 


&& 


Cle watches/warnings/advisories... 
Ohio...Lake effect snow warning until 4 am EST Saturday for 
ohz011>013-021>023. 
Lake effect snow warning until 4 PM EST Saturday for ohz014- 
089. 
Lake effect Snow Advisory until 4 am EST Saturday for ohz033. 
PA...lake effect snow warning until 4 PM EST Saturday for 
paz001>003. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EST Saturday for lez142>149. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...Adams 
near term...Adams 
short term...Adams 
long term...Mullen 
aviation...kieltyka 
marine...Mullen 




















National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations

Non-Expanded Version (with abbreviations)

Powered by the Weather Underground, Inc.