marine weather discussion

NWS ocean prediction center Washington DC

830 PM EDT Mon 6 Oct 2008

.Forecast discussion: major features/winds/seas/significant

.Weather for North Atlantic ocean W of 50w from 30n to 50n.

A low pres cntr about 250 nm E of Georges Bank...will move off

to the NE and rapidly intensify overnight thru Tue. Stg rdg will

bld se over the ofshr wtrs thru the fcst prd. Weak low pres is

expctd to dvlp inland near the se CST late Thu...then persist

into early Sat.

Blv the dvlpg low will far enuf E of the ofshr wtrs so that

gales over the ern part of the balt Cyn to Hague line area can

be dropped for the overnite prd. Gem/GFS/UKMET mdls are

supporting the low near the se CST...and the 18z GFS is dropping

the idea of a sfc low movg into mid Atlc area by Fri mrng and

taking an ascd fnt into the ofshr wtrs. So blv the 18z GFS can

be favored for the entire fcst prd now.

Given that the 18z GFS has come into better agreemnt now with

the other Med rng mdls for Fri and Sat...so the 18z wavewatch

iii mdl guidance will be followed pretty closely thru the fcst

prd.

.Warnings/forecast confidence...Preliminary. Any changes will be

coordinated through AWIPS 12 planet chat or by telephone:

.Nt1 New England waters...

.Gulf of Maine...none.

.Georges Bank...None.

.S of New England....none.

.Nt2 mid Atlc waters...

.Hudson to balt cnyn...none.

.Balt cnyn to Hague line...Gale tongt far se part. Low confdc.

.Balt cnyn to Hatteras cnyn...None.

.Hatteras cnyn to Cape Fear...None.

.Cape Fear to 31n...None.

.Forecaster Scovil. Ocean forecast branch.